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For more information see https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","fileAccessRequest":true,"metadataBlocks":{"citation":{"displayName":"Citation Metadata","name":"citation","fields":[{"typeName":"title","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Replication Data for: Ecological Dimensions Explain the Past but Do Not Predict Future Changes in Trust"},{"typeName":"author","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"authorName":{"typeName":"authorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Stavrova, Olga"},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Tilburg University, Tilburg School of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Department of Social Psychology"},"authorIdentifierScheme":{"typeName":"authorIdentifierScheme","multiple":false,"typeClass":"controlledVocabulary","value":"ORCID"},"authorIdentifier":{"typeName":"authorIdentifier","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"0000-0002-6079-4151"}},{"authorName":{"typeName":"authorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Evans, Anthony M."},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Tilburg University, Tilburg School of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Department of Social Psychology"}},{"authorName":{"typeName":"authorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Brandt, Mark J."},"authorAffiliation":{"typeName":"authorAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Michigan State University: East Lansing, Michigan, US"},"authorIdentifierScheme":{"typeName":"authorIdentifierScheme","multiple":false,"typeClass":"controlledVocabulary","value":"ORCID"},"authorIdentifier":{"typeName":"authorIdentifier","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"0000-0002-7185-7031"}}]},{"typeName":"datasetContact","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"datasetContactName":{"typeName":"datasetContactName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Stavrova, Olga"},"datasetContactAffiliation":{"typeName":"datasetContactAffiliation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Tilburg University"}}]},{"typeName":"dsDescription","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"dsDescriptionValue":{"typeName":"dsDescriptionValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Concerns about declining trust and rising cynicism are recurrent in academic research and the media.\nYet, prior studies focused on explaining, rather than predicting, temporal changes in trust. We tested\nprediction models of trust change across (up to) 98 countries over six measurement waves (from 1981\nto 2014). We tested whether different ecological predictors (e.g., pathogen prevalence, population\ndiversity, inequality) explain the past and predict future trust levels across countries. We used societal\ngrowth curve models to disentangle between- from within-country effects and evaluated the accuracy\nof the models’ out-of-sample predictions using the train-test split method: We used data from 1981–\n2009 to “train” the models and obtain predictions of trust for the period of 2010–2014. None of our\nmodels was more accurate in predicting future trust than a simpler baseline model. Moreover, we did\nnot observe a universal decline in trust. Instead, temporal changes in trust were country-specific,\nhighlighting the locality of cultural change. Most ecological predictors were correlated with between-country\ndifferences in trust. Only resource availability and moral opinion polarization were associated\nwith within-country changes in trust: Countries that became less wealthy and more morally polarized\nover time also became less trustful. These results highlight important differences between explanatory\nand predictive models and suggest that ecological theories of trust might be of limited use when\npredicting future cultural shifts."}}]},{"typeName":"subject","multiple":true,"typeClass":"controlledVocabulary","value":["Social Sciences"]},{"typeName":"keyword","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"keywordValue":{"typeName":"keywordValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Tilburg University"}},{"keywordValue":{"typeName":"keywordValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Trust"}},{"keywordValue":{"typeName":"keywordValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Cynicism"}},{"keywordValue":{"typeName":"keywordValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Predictive science"}},{"keywordValue":{"typeName":"keywordValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Ecological approach"}},{"keywordValue":{"typeName":"keywordValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Cultural change"}},{"keywordValue":{"typeName":"keywordValue","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Diversity"}}]},{"typeName":"publication","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"publicationCitation":{"typeName":"publicationCitation","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Stavrova, O., Evans, A. M., & Brandt, M. J. (2021). Ecological dimensions explain the past but do not predict future changes in trust. American Psychologist, 76(6), 983–996."},"publicationIDType":{"typeName":"publicationIDType","multiple":false,"typeClass":"controlledVocabulary","value":"doi"},"publicationIDNumber":{"typeName":"publicationIDNumber","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"10.1037/amp0000815"},"publicationURL":{"typeName":"publicationURL","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"https://doi.org/10.1037/amp0000815"}}]},{"typeName":"producer","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"producerName":{"typeName":"producerName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Tilburg University"}}]},{"typeName":"distributor","multiple":true,"typeClass":"compound","value":[{"distributorName":{"typeName":"distributorName","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"DataverseNL"}}]},{"typeName":"depositor","multiple":false,"typeClass":"primitive","value":"Wijnhoven, 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